multivariate analysis of relationship between seasonal rainfall in iran with climate indices

نویسندگان

داریوش یاراحمدی

استادیار گروه جغرافیا، دانشگاه لرستان قاسم عزیزی

دانشیار دانشکده جغرافیا-دانشگاه تهران

چکیده

in this article the relationship between the amount of seasonal rainfall (autumn, winter and spring) and climate indices in iran have been studied. the climate indices (the southern oscillation(soi),the north atlantic oscillation(nao), arctic oscillation(ao),nino 3/4,the multivariate enso index(mei),trans_ nino index(tni) and the pacific decadal oscillation(pdo) are used as independent variables. the monthly data of 25 synoptic stations have been used from 1951 to 2003. these stations have the long term data and can cover the most rainfall regions in iran. the results of this regression analysis show that the relationship between the amount of spring rainfall and climate indices is week. also the study shows that among of enso indices, the nino 3/4 has more strong relationship with the amount of autumn and winter rainfall. soi and mei are in second rank. it seems there isn't significant relationship between pdo and tni with seasonal rainfall (autumn, winter) has been shown. the relationship between autumn and winter rainfall with mei and tni is positive while about soi is negative. this study also identified that the effects of ao and nao over the amount of winter rainfall is more than the amount of autumn rainfall. the relationship coefficient between autumn and winter rainfall with nao and ao is negative therefore there is an inverse relationship between autumn and winter rainfall and ao and nao indices. keywords: enso, southern oscillation, arctic oscillation, the north atlantic oscillation, regression analysis.

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Spatiotemporal analysis of carbon dixoid impact on seasonal rainfall oscillation in Iran

Climate change disturbs the distribution of precipitation patterns and affects water resources. A lot of evidences imply that the increased atmospheric concentration of greenhouse gasses in turn increases the precipitation changes around the world. Thus, since Iran is located in an arid zone of the earth, identifying the effects of CO2 concentrations on Iran precipitation rate is highly importa...

متن کامل

a swot analysis of the english program of a bilingual school in iran

با توجه به جایگاه زبان انگلیسی به عنوان زبانی بین المللی و با در نظر گرفتن این واقعیت که دولت ها و مسئولان آموزش و پرورش در سراسر جهان در حال حاضر احساس نیاز به ایجاد موقعیتی برای کودکان جهت یاد گیری زبان انگلیسی درسنین پایین در مدارس دو زبانه می کنند، تحقیق حاضر با استفاده از مدل swot (قوت ها، ضعف ها، فرصتها و تهدیدها) سعی در ارزیابی مدرسه ای دو زبانه در ایران را دارد. جهت انجام این تحقیق در م...

15 صفحه اول

an investigation about the relationship between insurance lines and economic growth; the case study of iran

مطالعات قبلی بازار بیمه را به صورت کلی در نظر می گرفتند اما در این مطالعه صنعت بیمه به عنوان متغیر مستفل به بیمه های زندگی و غیر زندگی شکسته شده و هم چنین بیمه های زندگی به رشته های مختلف بیمه ای که در بازار بیمه ایران سهم قابل توجهی دارند تقسیم میشود. با استفاده از روشهای اقتصاد سنجی داده های برای دوره های 48-89 از مراکز ملی داده جمع آوری شد سپس با تخمین مدل خود بازگشتی برداری همراه با تعدادی ...

15 صفحه اول

Climate indices, rainfall onset and retreat, and malaria in Nigeria.

BACKGROUND & OBJECTIVES Rainfall in western sub-Saharan Africa is related to seasonal shifts of the Inter-tropical Convergence Zone, which moves northward early in the year, retreating in the second half of the year. The objective of the present study was to determine significant relationships between onset and retreat timing and climate indices. The relationship between timing and malaria case...

متن کامل

a comparative study of the relationship between self-, peer-, and teacher-assessments in productive skills

تمایل به ارزیابی جایگزین و تعویض آن با آزمون سنتی مداد و کاغذ در سالهای اخیر افزایش یافته است. اکثر زبان آموزان در کلاس های زبان از نمره نهایی که استاد تعیین میکند ناراضی اند. این تحقیق جهت بررسی ارزیابی در کلاس های زبان انگلیسی به هدف رضایتمندی زبان آموزان از نمره هایشان انجام گرفته است که در آن نمرات ارائه شده توسط سه گروه ارزیاب (ارزیابی خود دانشجو، همسالان واستاد) در مهارت های تولید (تکل...

15 صفحه اول

منابع من

با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید


عنوان ژورنال:
پژوهش های جغرافیایی (منتشر نمی‏شود)

جلد ۴۰، شماره ۱، صفحات ۰-۰

کلمات کلیدی
in this article the relationship between the amount of seasonal rainfall (autumn winter and spring) and climate indices in iran have been studied. the climate indices (the southern oscillation(soi) the north atlantic oscillation(nao) arctic oscillation(ao) nino 3/4 the multivariate enso index(mei) trans_ nino index(tni) and the pacific decadal oscillation(pdo) are used as independent variables. the monthly data of 25 synoptic stations have been used from 1951 to 2003. these stations have the long term data and can cover the most rainfall regions in iran. the results of this regression analysis show that the relationship between the amount of spring rainfall and climate indices is week. also the study shows that among of enso indices the nino 3/4 has more strong relationship with the amount of autumn and winter rainfall. soi and mei are in second rank. it seems there isn't significant relationship between pdo and tni with seasonal rainfall (autumn winter) has been shown. the relationship between autumn and winter rainfall with mei and tni is positive while about soi is negative. this study also identified that the effects of ao and nao over the amount of winter rainfall is more than the amount of autumn rainfall. the relationship coefficient between autumn and winter rainfall with nao and ao is negative therefore there is an inverse relationship between autumn and winter rainfall and ao and nao indices. keywords: enso southern oscillation arctic oscillation the north atlantic oscillation regression analysis.

میزبانی شده توسط پلتفرم ابری doprax.com

copyright © 2015-2023